第二轮感染高峰3-5月到来？这两类人群要注意
<p style="text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0px;" data-mpa-powered-by="yiban.io"><br/></p><p style="text-align: center;"><br/></p><p></p><section style="text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 250, 239);letter-spacing: 2px;text-align: left;text-indent: 2em;"></span></section><section><section data-role="outer" label="edit by 135editor"><section data-role="paragraph"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="122461"><section><section><section data-autoskip="1"><section><section data-id="116161"><section><section><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="91525" data-mpa-powered-by="yiban.io" style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);letter-spacing: normal;font-family: Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">刚刚过去的春节，疫情并未有明显反弹。随着奥密克戎变异株CH.1.1、XBB.1.5、BQ.1.1、BQ.1和XBB的出现，大家对可能出现的第二波感染高峰十分关注。最近“第2轮感染高峰或在3到5月”话题也登上热搜。</span></span></section></section></section></section><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89224" style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="outer" label="edit by 135editor" style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section data-role="outer" label="edit by 135editor" style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-align: center;visibility: visible;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"></section><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"/></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">第2轮感染高峰为何预测在3到5月？</strong></span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);visibility: visible;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.71em;font-family: Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: normal;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">华中科技大学同济医学院附属同济医院感染科主任医师邢铭友1月31日在接受长江日报采访时分析，从病毒学的角度和流行病学的角度来看，“阳康”后体内抗体水平会维持3到6个月比较高的峰值，短时间内再感染的人只有2%的概率。但是我们国人口基数非常大，从去年12月开始，再过3到6个月，我们的抗体水平慢慢下降以后，这时候如果有新的病毒变异株，我们再次感染后出现临床症状的可能性非常大，仍有可能出现高峰。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);visibility: visible;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"/></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);visibility: visible;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: normal;line-height: 1.71em;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">邢铭友教授预测，</span><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.71em;font-family: Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: normal;visibility: visible;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">第二轮感染高峰可能会在3-5月到来，但这次高峰民众可能感觉不那么明显。</strong></span><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: normal;line-height: 1.71em;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">由于大家感染的时间先后有差异，再加上我们第二次感染以后，由于有一个基础抗体水平的存在，第二轮感染的人数、感染症状的轻重，以及时间集中的幅度都会比第一次要弱得多。</span></span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);visibility: visible;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"/></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);visibility: visible;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">德国华裔病毒学家、埃森大学医学院病毒研究所教授陆蒙吉也在2月1日在接受<span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">《中国新闻周刊》采访时表示，预计从今年3月下旬开始，随着人群免疫力的下降，人群感染风险会增加，五六月份时，疫情变化会非常明显，到时候可能会面临第二波的冲击。</span></span><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: normal;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">但第二波疫情会出现在三月份还是五六月份，取决于是否会出现一种冲击力非常大的新毒株。</strong></span></span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);visibility: visible;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"/></span></section><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">感染率下降是病毒“传”不动了？</strong></span></section><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">中国疾控中心近期发布全国新型冠状病毒感染疫情情况显示，新冠病毒感染率呈下降趋势。刚刚过去的春节，疫情并未有明显反弹。</span></section><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br/></span></section><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">邢铭友教授表示，造成病毒“传”不动的原因是，绝大多数人都已经“阳过”了，体内有抗体，形成了群体免疫屏障。其次，随着病毒流行的进展，病毒毒性、致病性在慢慢变弱。</span></section><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br/></span></section><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color: rgb(0, 122, 170);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">两类人群未来或受影响大</strong></span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-weight: bold;text-shadow: none;font-family: Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);letter-spacing: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">1. 还在恢复身体的老人</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">病毒学家、德国埃森大学医学院病毒研究所教授陆蒙吉教授在接受《中国新闻周刊》采访时谈到，现在很多感染过的老人正处于身体恢复期，很多体质差的人再感染一次，后果可能非常严重。这个阶段，没发生感染的部分有免疫缺陷的高危人群，也可能面临下一波疫情的冲击。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);font-family: Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;font-weight: bold;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"/></span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(2, 30, 170);font-family: Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;font-weight: bold;text-indent: 0em;letter-spacing: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">2. 尚未感染的人群</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">目前受疫情影响最大的是尚未感染人群，估计在15%到20%。这和此前整体人群都易感的情况相比，影响程度已有所减少，但鉴于我国人口基数，涉及的人群规模还是很大的。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: left;font-size: 16px;caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);line-height: 1.6em;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section 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